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There was a wheat crisis in India after the Ukraine war, but farmers produced a record 11.75 crore tonnes. MSP increased, rains helped, now India can return to export position again. The reason behind this is the Indian Government’s decision to increase the MSP and good weather.
Till now you must have always heard that the government is taking decisions, making plans, announcing relief packages to solve the problems of farmers. But this time the story is opposite. Now farmers themselves are going to solve the biggest crisis of Modi government. Actually, after the Ukraine war, there was a wheat crisis in the whole world including India. The entire supply chain came to a standstill. As a result, there was a shortage of wheat in India also. After this the government took decisions one after the other. Wheat prices were increased so that farmers would be inclined towards wheat crop. Now the result has also come out. According to Agriculture Ministry data, till November 14, wheat had been sown in 66.2 lakh hectares, which is 17% more than last year. This means that it is certain that this time the production will be approximately 20 percent more and the biggest crisis of the government will be resolved.
After the Ukraine crisis, India had banned the export of wheat in 2022, then continued this ban in 2023 also. The reason was severe heat, drought and low production. Government stocks began to decline, prices reached record levels and for the first time it was discussed that India might have to import wheat again after 2017. But by 2025, the story completely changed. This year India produced a record 11.75 crore tonnes of wheat and now farmers have taken another big decision. They are going to sow wheat at the highest level ever, and that too of their own free will.
Why did the farmers themselves come forward?
Talking to Reuters, industry officials said that this time farmers are going to sow wheat in about 5% more area, which will be a record in itself. This was largely due to better prices and irregular rainfall in October, which increased soil moisture and encouraged farmers to shift from rain-fed crops to wheat. Speaking to Reuters, Nitin Gupta, Senior Vice President of Olam Agri India, said, this time the soil moisture is higher than expected, so both sowing and production of wheat can break records.
rain changed the game
- Major wheat producing areas of India, Punjab, Haryana, Western UP, Rajasthan received 161% more rainfall in October. The result was an average of 49% excess rainfall across the country. This is the same rain which farmers generally consider a trouble, but this time it proved to be a boon.
- Sowing moved towards breaking records. Farmers of Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan are shifting from crops like gram to wheat. They feel that the risk is less and they are getting better MSP.
- The government has increased the minimum support price (MSP) of wheat by 6.6% this year to Rs 2,585 per quintal. Ajay Goyal, MD of Shivaji Roller Flour Mills, says, this increase is attracting farmers more than before to sow wheat.
- The weather is also cooperating. The cold of January, February and March is most important for wheat. According to the Indian Meteorological Department, this year there will be La Nina i.e. there will be colder winters. The temperature has dropped in the last few days, which is perfect for wheat.
What will be the result?
Production may reach record levels. This will stabilize domestic prices i.e. inflation can be curbed. According to experts, for the first time there is a possibility that India may return to the export position again. And if this happens, our income will increase, which will benefit the government and the farmers.





























